UManish Patel we-SIPM wenze umboniso ombi malunga nokuvukelwa kwefayibha yehlabathi, ibhodi yeebhokisi kunye neemarike zebhokisi ezimdaka ngexesha leNkongolo ye-ICAMA ngomhla wesi-4 kuOkthobha.Ubonise indlela ukutyhala kweTshayina ukucoca okusingqongileyo kuya kuba nefuthe eIndiya

Manish Patel of SIPM ngexesha intetho yakhe ICCMA (Indian Corrugated Case Manufacturers Association) Congress wathi ngumzuzu Black Swan kushishino containerboard in India.Isizathu: ibe nempembelelo enkulu kwaye imeko yangoku iguqulwe ngaphakathi-ngaphandle kwaye ijonge phantsi.The raison d aitre: Utyhalo olundlongo lwaseTshayina lokucoca izenzo kunye neerhafu zokuziphindezela.

Iinkokeli eziphezulu zebhokisi ye-corrugation kubandakanya uKirit Modi, umongameli we-ICCAA uthe intengiso yangoku yahlukile.Ngeli xesha zibangelwa ukungalingani okungeyomfuneko ekuboneleleni nasekufuneni okubangelwa sisigqibo sikarhulumente waseTshayina sokuseka iinkcukacha zezinto ezinokuphinda zisetyenziswe kumazwe angaphandle.Ezi nkcukacha zintsha, kunye nomda we-0.5% yongcoliseko, ibe ngumngeni kwi-American, Canada kunye neYurophu exutywe ngephepha kunye neeplastiki ezixutywe ngokutsha.Kodwa okukhathazayo, kubangele ubumnyama kunye nentshabalalo kwishishini laseIndiya.

Kwenzeka ntoni ke?

Ngomhla wama-31 kuDisemba ka-2017, i-China yanqumamisa inkunkuma eninzi yeplastiki - njengeebhotile zesoda ezisetyenziswa kanye, izisongelo zokutya, kunye neengxowa zeplastiki - ezazifudula zithunyelwa ngaphandle elunxwemeni ukuze zilahlwe.
Phambi kwesi sigwebo, i-China yayilelona lizwe lithengisa izinto ezilahliweyo kumazwe angaphandle.Ngosuku lokuqala luka-2018, yayeka ukwamkela iplastiki esetyenzisiweyo kunye nephepha elilahlwayo elingalungiswanga elivela phesheya, kwaye yanqanda ngokuqatha ukuthengwa kwekhadibhodi.Isixa sezinto ezifunyenweyo eMelika, umthengisi omkhulu wehlabathi we-scrap, ethunyelwe e-China yayiyi-3 yeetoni ze-metric (MT) ngaphantsi kwesiqingatha sokuqala se-2018 kunonyaka ongaphambili, ukuhla kwe-38%.

Ngokwenyani, oku kubala ukungeniswa ngaphandle kwe-USD 24bn-yexabiso lenkunkuma.Kunye nephepha elixubeneyo kunye neepolymers ngoku ziphelelwa ngamandla kwizityalo eziphinda zisetyenziswe kwihlabathi laseNtshona.Ngo-2030, ukuvalwa komsebenzi kunokushiya i-111 yezigidi ze-MT yenkunkuma yeplastiki kungekho ndawo inokuya kuyo.
Akuphelelanga apho.Isizathu, icebo liyaqina.

U-Patel ubonise ukuba imveliso ye-China yephepha kunye ne-paperboard ikhule yaya kwi-120 yezigidi ze-MT ngo-2015 ukusuka kwi-10 yezigidi zeetoni ze-metric ngo-1990. Imveliso ye-India yi-13.5 yezigidi zeetoni.UPatel uthe, kuye kwakho i-30% yokunqongophala kwi-RCP (esetyenzisiweyo kunye nephepha lenkunkuma) kwi-containerboard ngenxa yezithintelo.Oku kubangele izinto ezimbini.Enye, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-OCC yasekhaya (ikhadibhodi endala) kunye ne-12 yezigidi zeentsilelo zeMT kwibhodi eTshayina.

Ngelixa bebenxibelelana nabathunywa abavela eTshayina kwinkomfa kunye nomboniso osecaleni, bathethe noWhatPackaging?ngemiyalelo engqongqo yokungachazwa kwamagama.Ummeli ovela eShanghai, uthe, "Urhulumente waseTshayina ungqongqo kakhulu malunga nomgaqo-nkqubo wakhe we-0.5% kwaye unciphise ungcoliseko."Ke kwenzeka ntoni kwiinkampani ezingama-5,000 zokurisayikilisha ezinabantu abazizigidi ezili-10 abasebenza kumzi mveliso waseTshayina, impendulo ngokubanzi ibisithi, “Akukho zimvo kuba ishishini liyabhidisa kwaye lintsonkothile kwaye limdaka eTshayina.Akukho lwazi kunye nokunqongophala kolwakhiwo olufanelekileyo - kwaye umda opheleleyo kunye nesiphumo somgaqo-nkqubo omtsha waseTshayina onezinto ezininzi zokungenisa izinto ezilahliweyo awukaqondwa ngokupheleleyo.

Enye into ecacileyo, iimvume zokungenisa e-China kulindeleke ukuba ziqiniswe.Omnye umenzi waseTshayina uthe, “Iibhokisi ezibotshiweyo zenza ngaphezulu kwesiqingatha sephepha elinokuphinda lisetyenziswe eTshayina ngenxa yeentsinga zazo ezinde, ezomeleleyo.Balibakala elicocekileyo kunephepha elixutyiweyo, ngakumbi iibhokisi zamathanki ezisuka kwiiakhawunti zorhwebo.”Kukho ukungaqiniseki malunga neenkqubo zokuhlola ezibangela iingxaki kwilizwe laseTshayina.Kwaye ke, abahlaziyi bephepha bayathandabuza ukuthumela iibhali ze-OCC de bazi ukuba uhlolo luya kuhambelana kwaye luqikeleleke.

Iimarike zaseIndiya ziya kujongana nesiphithiphithi kwiinyanga ezili-12 ezizayo.Njengoko uPatel wabonisayo, uphawu olulodwa lomjikelo we-RCP yaseTshayina luphenjelelwa ngamandla kukuthunyelwa kwayo ngaphandle.Uthe, i-20% ye-GDP yaseTshayina yonyuswa kukuthumela ngaphandle kwaye "njengoko ukuthunyelwa kwempahla eTshayina kulinyathelo elixhasa ukupakisha kukho imfuno eyomeleleyo yebhodi yeebhokisi.

UPatel uthe, “imarike yaseTshayina yamabanga asezantsi ebhodi yebhokisi (ekwabizwa ngokuba yi-kraft paper eIndiya) inomtsalane kakhulu ngokwexabiso labavelisi bamaphepha baseIndiya, kuMbindi Mpuma nakuMzantsi Mpuma Asia.Ukuthunyelwa kumazwe angaphandle e-China nakwezinye iindawo kuMbindi Mpuma, eMzantsi Asia nase-Afrika ngama-Indiya kunye nezinye iindawo zokusila zengingqi akupheleli nje ngokufunxa umthamo ogqithisileyo kwiimarike zasekhaya kodwa kudala ukunqongophala.Oku kuqhuba iindleko zabo bonke abavelisi beebhokisi zenkqantosi zengingqi kuquka nabo baseIndiya.

Wachaza indlela oomatshini bamaphepha eMzantsi Mpuma Asia, eIndiya naseMbindi Mpuma abazama ngayo ukuzalisa le ntsilelo.Uthe, “Ukunqongophala kweTshayina malunga ne-12-13 yezigidi ze-MT/ngonyaka) kodlula kakhulu amandla aphesheya.Kwaye ke, abavelisi abakhulu baseTshayina baya kuphendula njani kumthombo wefayibha kwiimill zabo eTshayina?Ngaba abahlaziyi baseMelika bazokwazi ukucoca inkunkuma yabo yokupakisha?Ngaba amashishini ephepha aseIndiya aya kutshintsha ingqwalasela yawo (kunye nemida yenzuzo) aye eTshayina endaweni yentengiso yasekhaya?

I-Q&A emva kwenkcazo-ntetho kaPatel yayenza yacaca, ukuba uqikelelo lulilize.Kodwa oku kujongeka njengeyona ngxaki imbi kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo.
Ngemfuno ekulindeleke ukuba inyuswe ukuzalisekisa iimfuno ze-e-commerce blockbuster yeentsuku zokuthenga kwi-intanethi kunye nexesha leholide yeDiwali yendabuko, iinyanga ezimbalwa ezizayo zibonakala zinzima.Ngaba i-Indiya ifundile nantoni na kwesi siqendu samva nje, okanye njengesiqhelo, siya kuphelelwa lithemba, kwaye sibambe umoya de kwenzeke okulandelayo?Okanye ngaba siza kuzama ukufumana izicombululo?